tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.comments2024-03-18T03:15:47.245-04:00Born To Run The NumbersAnonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17204820380951843146noreply@blogger.comBlogger831125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-52221122813512702702024-02-22T09:43:09.686-05:002024-02-22T09:43:09.686-05:00This is terrifying, and true....every single word ...This is terrifying, and true....every single word of it! WAKE UP Democrats, and everyone who loves our country and values democracy, no matter your political party. This election is not about policy. It is about if we will have a 2028 election.....Marie Hawenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-64892481448349635222024-02-06T09:17:54.633-05:002024-02-06T09:17:54.633-05:00Ha, excellent one, John! I do hope you will send i...Ha, excellent one, John! I do hope you will send in your nominations for the 2025 awards next year. Thanks!Stevenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-24237894775219966972024-02-06T08:02:26.004-05:002024-02-06T08:02:26.004-05:00Delightful snark .... and while disappointing that...Delightful snark .... and while disappointing that Lauren Boebert did not win an award, the list offers a full display of national level Republican hypocrisy. <br /><br />I was surprised by the omission of Freedom Caucus (and Texas) Rep. Chip Roy. His November speech was epic:<br /><br />“When is it going to be enough? Is $34 trillion of debt not enough? $2 trillion deficits not enough? AnotherJohninDenvernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-21007878539060772952024-01-16T19:40:50.282-05:002024-01-16T19:40:50.282-05:00Trump 20, DeSantis 9, Haley 8, and Ramaswamy 3.
...Trump 20, DeSantis 9, Haley 8, and Ramaswamy 3. <br />40 delegates chosen, only 2,232 pledged and 157 unpledged left to go. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-42422136942064310242024-01-15T02:54:30.112-05:002024-01-15T02:54:30.112-05:00He was the first NBA champion of Asian descent, ho...He was the first NBA champion of Asian descent, however limited his on-court contributions, and that is quite a distinction.<br /><a href="https://bapesta.us" rel="nofollow">Bapesta</a><br /><a href="https://bapesta.us/pink-bape-shoes/" rel="nofollow">Pink bape shoes</a><br /><a href="https://bapesta.us/black-bape-shoes/" rel="nofollow">Black bapesta</a>unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13933790265033025475noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-47154455238378897612024-01-14T09:07:04.376-05:002024-01-14T09:07:04.376-05:00Good article. Thank you for making sense! Good article. Thank you for making sense! Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-43308824432701828162024-01-09T10:08:54.060-05:002024-01-09T10:08:54.060-05:00I believe Nikki Haley cannot win in Nevada, as she...I believe Nikki Haley cannot win in Nevada, as she is not on the caucus but just the state-run primary which doesn't count.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-69316591081086961212023-12-20T00:18:48.390-05:002023-12-20T00:18:48.390-05:00I would like to push back on the Joe Mauer exclusi...I would like to push back on the Joe Mauer exclusion. He only started playing regular 1B in his 30s, and entering 2014 he had played a mere 56 games at that position in his career. Up until that point, as an undisputable catcher, he had amassed 45 WAR, which is HOF worthy for catchers. He had made 6 All-Star games, had led the league in avg 3x, and won MVP (getting votes during 5 seasons.)<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-39875864848842270032023-12-18T16:50:35.809-05:002023-12-18T16:50:35.809-05:00I'm not convinced you put enough time, thought...I'm not convinced you put enough time, thought or energy into your analysis - please go back and try it again, and this time with some passion... and by that I mean: brilliantly done, as always. You're a HOF-caliber statistical analyst in my book!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-422711095305239992023-12-18T09:33:43.946-05:002023-12-18T09:33:43.946-05:00Wow, this is such an excellent piece of work. I le...Wow, this is such an excellent piece of work. I learned a lot of information, and I totally agree with your analysis. Thanks for sharing your ideas with us. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-43678807287570545942023-12-18T08:49:12.932-05:002023-12-18T08:49:12.932-05:00With Koch network funding, Haley has enough money ...With Koch network funding, Haley has enough money to get her to South Carolina Republican primary on Feb. 24. Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada contests ought to winnow the field and provide a clearer basis for evaluating Haley's potential. <br />If DeSantis has embarrassing losses (as seems likely), if Ramaswamy is revealed as 2024's Bobby Jindal (though not as nice or intelligent), and John in Denvernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-21515461544761282062023-12-10T17:20:21.142-05:002023-12-10T17:20:21.142-05:00You have immigration as a "Republican" i...You have immigration as a "Republican" issue. Unfortunately, it becomes a bipartisan issue when Democrats on the border (esp. Arizona) and in big cities (such as mine, Denver) are unwilling or unable to "solve" the issue or even find an argument about why the problems cannot be solved by Republicans. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-70206674326034608562023-12-03T11:54:50.160-05:002023-12-03T11:54:50.160-05:00Dems need to pound DJT on his age and mental compe...Dems need to pound DJT on his age and mental competence.JBhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14475708553431527723noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-86189312257823544212023-12-02T13:49:36.235-05:002023-12-02T13:49:36.235-05:00Another solid analysis from BTRTN. We Democrats do...Another solid analysis from BTRTN. We Democrats do tend to be “bedwetters “ and it is very good to see an assessment from a clear-eyed and data-driven perspective. Once again, many thanks!Charles Dewnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-36345438718068153602023-11-22T12:20:34.568-05:002023-11-22T12:20:34.568-05:00Start with the reality: Pew Research last week pu...Start with the reality: Pew Research last week published <br />https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2023/11/16/what-we-know-about-unauthorized-immigrants-living-in-the-us/<br /><br />Here are key findings about how the U.S. unauthorized immigrant population changed from 2017 to 2021:<br /><br /> The most common country of birth for unauthorized immigrants is Mexico. However, the populationAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-53520107016505301002023-11-21T09:04:56.251-05:002023-11-21T09:04:56.251-05:00Good piece, Steve. Biden should also continue to ...Good piece, Steve. Biden should also continue to work on speeding up work permits for migrants. That's happened in pockets, but it needs to be more broad based. This would put people to work faster, enabling them to support their families, and those dollars they earned would be plowed right back into the economy. And it would greatly help with the labor shortage that's frustrating allAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-14534787366107062332023-11-16T21:16:00.541-05:002023-11-16T21:16:00.541-05:00I think you’ll find Ezra Klein’s recent podcast wi...I think you’ll find Ezra Klein’s recent podcast with Michael Podhorzer about these polls really interesting. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/14/opinion/ezra-klein-podcast-michael-podhorzer.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShareBruce Leddynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-2835817790956920082023-11-09T13:15:05.170-05:002023-11-09T13:15:05.170-05:00A college debate coach (who opines on Presidential...A college debate coach (who opines on Presidential debates of all sorts) took his shot at describing the debate: The Republican debater with only one gear – ‘D’ for ‘dislikeable!’ <br /><br />He grades the debaters, giving an edge to Christie, followed by Haley, DeSantis, Scott, and last -- providing the headline -- Ramaswamy. <br /><br />https://edition.cnn.com/2023/11/09/opinions/Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-16550626634084085192023-11-09T00:16:11.249-05:002023-11-09T00:16:11.249-05:00Polling is certainly one "snapshot" of t...Polling is certainly one "snapshot" of the status of the race. This far out, results don't have a great record for predictive power. If I remember correctly, early November 2019 was when polling saw a surge of expectation that Biden was fading, and Warren and Harris were rising, and that all of them would romp over Trump (or were within MoE). <br /><br />In the world of actual Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-45637593944158077482023-11-08T23:49:57.560-05:002023-11-08T23:49:57.560-05:00Worth thinking back 4 years, when the polls were -...Worth thinking back 4 years, when the polls were -- to put it bluntly -- varied. <br /><br />The New Yorker, in November 2019, said <br />Yesterday the whole hep political world revolved around discussions of some new data from the New York Times/Siena College polling combine, with analysis from the Upshot’s Nate Cohn. To make a long story short, the data and analysis (based on polling of key John in Denvernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-60922286438862605252023-11-07T20:10:10.942-05:002023-11-07T20:10:10.942-05:00My friend, thanks for this comment, but it is wron...My friend, thanks for this comment, but it is wrong. Pollsters conquered the cell phone issue long ago. That's not a problem. The polls are generally very good: BTRTN accurately predicted the outcome of 34 out of 35 Senate races in 2022, and 35 and out 36 governor races. We could not do that without quite accurate polling on the part of the pollsters. The only recent issue with polling Tomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16441403162832611393noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-34236215499449530072023-11-07T14:56:16.812-05:002023-11-07T14:56:16.812-05:00This is overly convoluted….people under 45 do not ...This is overly convoluted….people under 45 do not have land lines and don’t answer strange phone calls. The end. It’s not generation Z, it still Z and X. So good luck ever trying to get a real sample distribution and I’m not sure you can conclude anything from a poll anymore….maybe older people vote more conservative and younger people don’t participate in polls?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-46203556582887663732023-11-07T01:19:35.925-05:002023-11-07T01:19:35.925-05:00We are thankful to you for sharing this informativ...We are thankful to you for sharing this informative post. We want to request you please continue to communicate this type of post.<br />We want to introduce our online store. We have an online store for leather Goods whose name are Jackets In Leather. We have a unique collection of leather goods, especially <a href="https://jacketsinleather.com/collections/motorcycle-collection/foveapparelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05113354677074893350noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-5694764236480878362023-11-03T16:36:39.318-04:002023-11-03T16:36:39.318-04:00Great commentary, Steve. Great commentary, Steve. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5740109351100971187.post-43646254921461511092023-10-30T22:01:32.947-04:002023-10-30T22:01:32.947-04:00Very well said, Steve!Very well said, Steve!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com